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FII vs DII: The Great Indian Market Tug of War

Harshal Dasani•21 Apr 2026

The Indian equity market is witnessing a structural shift as domestic institutional investors increasingly counterbalance foreign investor outflows. While FIIs continue to influence short-term market direction through global macro-driven decisions, DIIs—powered by strong SIP inflows and rising household participation—are steadily building a long-term support base. This evolving dynamic reflects the growing maturity of India’s financial ecosystem and reduces the market’s vulnerability to external

India's Defence Sector: The Quiet Bull Market Hiding in Plain Sight

Harshal Dasani•21 Apr 2026

India’s defence sector is emerging as a strong structural growth story, driven by rising government spending, indigenisation policies, and increasing geopolitical tensions. With multi-year order visibility and export ambitions gaining traction, domestic defence companies are well-positioned for sustained growth. However, execution timelines, valuation levels, and policy dependency remain key factors to monitor, making this a long-term investment theme rather than a short-term trade.

Q4 FY26 Earnings Season: What Every Indian Investor Must Watch Right Now

Harshal Dasani•21 Apr 2026

The Q4 FY26 earnings season arrives at a critical juncture for Indian markets, offering insights into how companies have navigated a year marked by global volatility and domestic resilience. Early signals indicate a mixed trend, with sectors like banking and FMCG reflecting domestic strength, while IT and export-oriented segments remain cautious. The focus now shifts from headline numbers to forward guidance, margin trends, and demand outlook, making this earnings season a key determinant of mar

Gold & Silver Surge: The Safe-Haven Rally Every Indian Investor Must Understand

Harshal Dasani•21 Apr 2026

Gold and silver have surged amid geopolitical tensions, central bank accumulation, and US dollar weakness, re-establishing their role as key safe-haven assets. While gold continues to act as a store of value during uncertainty, silver’s dual role as an industrial and monetary metal has driven sharper gains. For Indian investors, the rally presents both opportunity and risk, with allocation discipline becoming critical as global macro conditions evolve.

Iran-Israel War: What It Really Means for Indian Investors

Harshal Dasani•20 Apr 2026

The Iran-Israel conflict has introduced significant volatility into global markets, with direct implications for India through rising crude prices, rupee pressure, and foreign investor outflows. As a heavily oil-import dependent economy, India faces risks to its current account, inflation trajectory, and market sentiment. While certain sectors may benefit from geopolitical uncertainty, the broader market remains sensitive to oil dynamics and capital flows. The situation demands a measured, strat

RBI MPC Meeting 2026: A Policy of Balance Amid Global Uncertainty

Harshal Dasani•09 Apr 2026

The RBI’s decision to hold the repo rate at 5.25% reflects a calibrated approach in an environment marked by global uncertainty, rising crude prices, and currency volatility. Rather than reacting to supply-driven inflation, the central bank has prioritized stability, liquidity support, and preservation of the domestic growth cycle. This measured stance reduces macro tail risks while maintaining flexibility, positioning India as a relatively stable economy amid global turbulence.

The Strait That Changed Hands: How the IRGC Became the World's Most Powerful Toll Collector

Harshal Dasani•30 Mar 2026

The Strait of Hormuz has not been shut — it has transitioned into a controlled, permission-based trade route with selective access and rising transaction costs. With crude flows slowing, fertiliser shipments getting delayed, and transactions increasingly shifting toward yuan, the disruption is extending beyond energy into food inflation and global financial systems. For India, this creates direct pressure through higher oil prices, supply chain disruptions, and currency sensitivity, making it a

Best-Ever February, Uncertain April: The Auto Sector’s Diverging Signals

Harshal Dasani•28 Mar 2026

India’s auto sector delivered record-breaking February sales, supported by GST reforms and strong rural demand. However, rising crude prices, input cost inflation, and potential demand slowdown from April are creating near-term uncertainty. The divergence between strong fundamentals and market weakness reflects a transition phase rather than structural deterioration.

Nifty IT at 52-Week Lows: Capitulation or Opportunity?

Harshal Dasani•27 Mar 2026

The Nifty IT index has seen one of its sharpest corrections in recent history, driven by US slowdown fears, heavy FII outflows, and weak global tech sentiment. While valuations have corrected significantly and recent buying interest has emerged, the sector’s near-term direction will depend on Q4 earnings, deal pipelines, and FY27 guidance.

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